Fenbo Holdings Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.61

FEBO Stock   2.03  0.10  4.69%   
Fenbo Holdings' future price is the expected price of Fenbo Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fenbo Holdings Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fenbo Holdings Backtesting, Fenbo Holdings Valuation, Fenbo Holdings Correlation, Fenbo Holdings Hype Analysis, Fenbo Holdings Volatility, Fenbo Holdings History as well as Fenbo Holdings Performance.
  
At this time, Fenbo Holdings' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 42.72, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 2.33. Please specify Fenbo Holdings' target price for which you would like Fenbo Holdings odds to be computed.

Fenbo Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 11.61

The tendency of Fenbo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11.61  or more in 90 days
 2.03 90 days 11.61 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fenbo Holdings to move over  11.61  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fenbo Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Fenbo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fenbo Holdings price to stay between its current price of  2.03  and  11.61  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fenbo Holdings has a beta of 1.0. This usually indicates Fenbo Holdings Limited market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fenbo Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Fenbo Holdings Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fenbo Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fenbo Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fenbo Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.2511.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.0411.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.6911.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.863.184.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fenbo Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fenbo Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fenbo Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fenbo Holdings.

Fenbo Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fenbo Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fenbo Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fenbo Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fenbo Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Fenbo Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fenbo Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fenbo Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fenbo Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fenbo Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 15.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.74 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fenbo Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fenbo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fenbo Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fenbo Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 M

Fenbo Holdings Technical Analysis

Fenbo Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fenbo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fenbo Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fenbo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fenbo Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Fenbo Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fenbo Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fenbo Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fenbo Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fenbo Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fenbo Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fenbo Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fenbo Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 15.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.74 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
When determining whether Fenbo Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fenbo Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fenbo Holdings Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fenbo Holdings Limited Stock:
Check out Fenbo Holdings Backtesting, Fenbo Holdings Valuation, Fenbo Holdings Correlation, Fenbo Holdings Hype Analysis, Fenbo Holdings Volatility, Fenbo Holdings History as well as Fenbo Holdings Performance.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Household Appliances space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fenbo Holdings. If investors know Fenbo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fenbo Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.04)
Revenue Per Share
12.006
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.142
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.08)
The market value of Fenbo Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fenbo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fenbo Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fenbo Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fenbo Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fenbo Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fenbo Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fenbo Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fenbo Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.