Fedbank Financial (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 107.70
| FEDFINA Stock | 100.15 0.14 0.14% |
Fedbank |
Fedbank Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 107.70
The tendency of Fedbank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 107.70 or more in 90 days |
| 100.15 | 90 days | 107.70 | about 43.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fedbank Financial to move over 107.70 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.3 (This Fedbank Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Fedbank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fedbank Financial price to stay between its current price of 100.15 and 107.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fedbank Financial has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fedbank Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fedbank Financial Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fedbank Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fedbank Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fedbank Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fedbank Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fedbank Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fedbank Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fedbank Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fedbank Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fedbank Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Fedbank Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fedbank Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fedbank Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fedbank Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fedbank Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Fedbank Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fedbank Financial Services Limited Announces Resignation of Ramchandar Ragavendran, Chief Business Officer - Business Loans - Marketscreener.com |
Fedbank Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fedbank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fedbank Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fedbank Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 343.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Fedbank Financial Technical Analysis
Fedbank Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fedbank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fedbank Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fedbank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fedbank Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Fedbank Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fedbank Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fedbank Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fedbank Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fedbank Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fedbank Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fedbank Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fedbank Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Fedbank Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fedbank Financial Services Limited Announces Resignation of Ramchandar Ragavendran, Chief Business Officer - Business Loans - Marketscreener.com |
Other Information on Investing in Fedbank Stock
Fedbank Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fedbank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fedbank with respect to the benefits of owning Fedbank Financial security.