Fedbank Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FEDFINA Stock | 100.15 0.14 0.14% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fedbank Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 105.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 186.78. Fedbank Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fedbank Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Fedbank Financial Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fedbank Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Fedbank |
Fedbank Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2025
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fedbank Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 105.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.06, mean absolute percentage error of 15.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 186.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fedbank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fedbank Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fedbank Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
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Fedbank Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fedbank Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fedbank Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 103.13 and 107.70, respectively. We have considered Fedbank Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fedbank Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fedbank Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8528 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.062 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0294 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 186.7836 |
Predictive Modules for Fedbank Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fedbank Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Fedbank Financial
For every potential investor in Fedbank, whether a beginner or expert, Fedbank Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fedbank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fedbank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fedbank Financial's price trends.Fedbank Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fedbank Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fedbank Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fedbank Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fedbank Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fedbank Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fedbank Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fedbank Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fedbank Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fedbank Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fedbank Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fedbank Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0244 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.06) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 100.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 100.55 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.66) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) |
Fedbank Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fedbank Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fedbank Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fedbank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Fedbank Stock
Fedbank Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fedbank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fedbank with respect to the benefits of owning Fedbank Financial security.