First Energy Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0427

FEMFF Stock  USD 0.04  0  8.33%   
First Energy's future price is the expected price of First Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Energy Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Energy Backtesting, First Energy Valuation, First Energy Correlation, First Energy Hype Analysis, First Energy Volatility, First Energy History as well as First Energy Performance.
  
Please specify First Energy's target price for which you would like First Energy odds to be computed.

First Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0427

The tendency of First OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.04  after 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 7.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Energy to stay under $ 0.04  after 90 days from now is about 7.51 (This First Energy Metals probability density function shows the probability of First OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Energy Metals price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04  and $ 0.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Energy Metals has a beta of -0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Energy Metals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Energy Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Energy Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.048.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.048.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00060.038.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.050.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Energy Metals.

First Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Energy Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

First Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Energy Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Energy Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Energy Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
First Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
First Energy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Energy Metals has accumulated about 111.49 K in cash with (4.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

First Energy Technical Analysis

First Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Energy Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing First OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Energy Predictive Forecast Models

First Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Energy Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Energy Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Energy Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Energy Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
First Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
First Energy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Energy Metals has accumulated about 111.49 K in cash with (4.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in First OTC Stock

First Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether First OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Energy security.