Fernhill Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.87E-4
| FERN Stock | USD 0.0008 0.0001 11.11% |
Fernhill |
Fernhill Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 7.87E-4
The tendency of Fernhill Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.0008 in 90 days |
| 0.0008 | 90 days | 0.0008 | about 91.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fernhill Corp to stay above $ 0.0008 in 90 days from now is about 91.49 (This Fernhill Corp probability density function shows the probability of Fernhill Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fernhill Corp price to stay between $ 0.0008 and its current price of $8.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fernhill Corp has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fernhill Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fernhill Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fernhill Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fernhill Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fernhill Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fernhill Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fernhill Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fernhill Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fernhill Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fernhill Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fernhill Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000078 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Fernhill Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fernhill Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fernhill Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fernhill Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fernhill Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fernhill Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Fernhill Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (37.32 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fernhill Corp currently holds about 528 in cash with (889) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Fernhill Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fernhill Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fernhill Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fernhill Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0611 |
Fernhill Corp Technical Analysis
Fernhill Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fernhill Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fernhill Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fernhill Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fernhill Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Fernhill Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fernhill Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fernhill Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fernhill Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fernhill Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fernhill Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fernhill Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fernhill Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fernhill Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Fernhill Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (37.32 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fernhill Corp currently holds about 528 in cash with (889) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Fernhill Pink Sheet
Fernhill Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fernhill Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fernhill with respect to the benefits of owning Fernhill Corp security.