Spdr Stoxx Europe Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 45.58
| FEU Etf | USD 711.00 670.29 1,646% |
SPDR |
SPDR STOXX Target Price Odds to finish over 45.58
The tendency of SPDR Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 45.58 in 90 days |
| 711.00 | 90 days | 45.58 | about 1.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPDR STOXX to stay above $ 45.58 in 90 days from now is about 1.51 (This SPDR STOXX Europe probability density function shows the probability of SPDR Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SPDR STOXX Europe price to stay between $ 45.58 and its current price of $711.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.51 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon SPDR STOXX has a beta of 0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, SPDR STOXX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SPDR STOXX Europe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SPDR STOXX Europe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SPDR STOXX Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SPDR STOXX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPDR STOXX Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPDR STOXX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPDR STOXX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPDR STOXX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPDR STOXX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPDR STOXX Europe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPDR STOXX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
SPDR STOXX Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPDR STOXX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPDR STOXX Europe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SPDR STOXX Europe is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SPDR STOXX Europe appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The fund retains 99.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
SPDR STOXX Technical Analysis
SPDR STOXX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SPDR Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SPDR STOXX Europe. In general, you should focus on analyzing SPDR Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SPDR STOXX Predictive Forecast Models
SPDR STOXX's time-series forecasting models is one of many SPDR STOXX's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SPDR STOXX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SPDR STOXX Europe
Checking the ongoing alerts about SPDR STOXX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SPDR STOXX Europe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SPDR STOXX Europe is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SPDR STOXX Europe appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The fund retains 99.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out SPDR STOXX Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SPDR STOXX Correlation, SPDR STOXX Hype Analysis, SPDR STOXX Volatility, SPDR STOXX History as well as SPDR STOXX Performance. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
The market value of SPDR STOXX Europe is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPDR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPDR STOXX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPDR STOXX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPDR STOXX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPDR STOXX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPDR STOXX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPDR STOXX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPDR STOXX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.