Franklin Federal Limited Term Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.33

FFLQX Fund  USD 10.33  0.01  0.1%   
Franklin Federal's future price is the expected price of Franklin Federal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Federal Limited Term performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Federal Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Federal Correlation, Franklin Federal Hype Analysis, Franklin Federal Volatility, Franklin Federal History as well as Franklin Federal Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Federal's target price for which you would like Franklin Federal odds to be computed.

Franklin Federal Target Price Odds to finish over 10.33

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.33 90 days 10.33 
roughly 2.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Federal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.5 (This Franklin Federal Limited Term probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Federal Limited Term has a beta of -0.0155. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Franklin Federal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Franklin Federal Limited Term is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Franklin Federal Limited Term has an alpha of 0.0053, implying that it can generate a 0.005287 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin Federal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Federal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Federal Lim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2310.3310.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.409.5011.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2310.3210.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2910.3110.34
Details

Franklin Federal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Federal Limited Term, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -1.23

Franklin Federal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Federal Lim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Franklin Federal Technical Analysis

Franklin Federal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Federal Limited Term. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Federal Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Federal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Federal's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Federal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Federal Lim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Federal Lim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Federal security.
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