Founder Group Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.48
| FGL Stock | 2.23 0.22 8.98% |
Founder |
Founder Group Target Price Odds to finish over 14.48
The tendency of Founder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 14.48 or more in 90 days |
| 2.23 | 90 days | 14.48 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Founder Group to move over 14.48 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Founder Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Founder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Founder Group Limited price to stay between its current price of 2.23 and 14.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Founder Group Limited has a beta of -2.02. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Founder Group Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Founder Group is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Founder Group Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Founder Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Founder Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Founder Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Founder Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Founder Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Founder Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Founder Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Founder Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Founder Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Founder Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Founder Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Founder Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Founder Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 2205 shares by Bawden William of Founder Group at 24.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Founder Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Founder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Founder Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Founder Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Founder Group Technical Analysis
Founder Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Founder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Founder Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Founder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Founder Group Predictive Forecast Models
Founder Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Founder Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Founder Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Founder Group Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Founder Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Founder Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Founder Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Founder Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 2205 shares by Bawden William of Founder Group at 24.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Founder Group Backtesting, Founder Group Valuation, Founder Group Correlation, Founder Group Hype Analysis, Founder Group Volatility, Founder Group History as well as Founder Group Performance. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Construction space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Founder Group. If investors know Founder will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Founder Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Founder Group Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Founder that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Founder Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Founder Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Founder Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Founder Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Founder Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Founder Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Founder Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.