Financiera Independencia (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.11
| FINDEP Stock | MXN 8.00 0.20 2.44% |
Financiera |
Financiera Independencia Target Price Odds to finish below 9.11
The tendency of Financiera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 9.11 after 90 days |
| 8.00 | 90 days | 9.11 | about 61.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Financiera Independencia to stay under 9.11 after 90 days from now is about 61.73 (This Financiera Independencia SAB probability density function shows the probability of Financiera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Financiera Independencia price to stay between its current price of 8.00 and 9.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Financiera Independencia SAB has a beta of -0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Financiera Independencia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Financiera Independencia SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Financiera Independencia SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Financiera Independencia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Financiera Independencia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Financiera Independencia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Financiera Independencia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Financiera Independencia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Financiera Independencia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Financiera Independencia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Financiera Independencia SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Financiera Independencia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Financiera Independencia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Financiera Independencia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Financiera Independencia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Financiera Independencia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Financiera Independencia SAB has accumulated about 1.28 B in cash with (316.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 61.64, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Financiera Independencia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Financiera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Financiera Independencia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Financiera Independencia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 337.5 M |
Financiera Independencia Technical Analysis
Financiera Independencia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Financiera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Financiera Independencia SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Financiera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Financiera Independencia Predictive Forecast Models
Financiera Independencia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Financiera Independencia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Financiera Independencia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Financiera Independencia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Financiera Independencia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Financiera Independencia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Financiera Independencia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Financiera Independencia SAB has accumulated about 1.28 B in cash with (316.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 61.64, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Financiera Stock
Financiera Independencia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Financiera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Financiera with respect to the benefits of owning Financiera Independencia security.