Finvolution Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.18
| FINV Stock | USD 6.24 0.06 0.97% |
FinVolution |
FinVolution Target Price Odds to finish over 6.18
The tendency of FinVolution Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 6.18 in 90 days |
| 6.24 | 90 days | 6.18 | about 25.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FinVolution to stay above $ 6.18 in 90 days from now is about 25.48 (This FinVolution Group probability density function shows the probability of FinVolution Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FinVolution Group price to stay between $ 6.18 and its current price of $6.24 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FinVolution has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FinVolution average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FinVolution Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FinVolution Group has an alpha of 0.115, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FinVolution Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for FinVolution
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FinVolution Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FinVolution Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FinVolution is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FinVolution's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FinVolution Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FinVolution within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
FinVolution Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FinVolution for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FinVolution Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FinVolution Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 FinVolution Group Earnings Call Transcript |
FinVolution Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FinVolution Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FinVolution's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FinVolution's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 280.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 B |
FinVolution Technical Analysis
FinVolution's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FinVolution Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FinVolution Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing FinVolution Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FinVolution Predictive Forecast Models
FinVolution's time-series forecasting models is one of many FinVolution's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FinVolution's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FinVolution Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about FinVolution for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FinVolution Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FinVolution Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 FinVolution Group Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for FinVolution Stock Analysis
When running FinVolution's price analysis, check to measure FinVolution's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FinVolution is operating at the current time. Most of FinVolution's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FinVolution's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FinVolution's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FinVolution to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.