Franklin Ftse Brazil Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 16.49

FLBR Etf  USD 16.80  0.29  1.76%   
Franklin FTSE's future price is the expected price of Franklin FTSE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin FTSE Brazil performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin FTSE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin FTSE Correlation, Franklin FTSE Hype Analysis, Franklin FTSE Volatility, Franklin FTSE History as well as Franklin FTSE Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin FTSE's target price for which you would like Franklin FTSE odds to be computed.

Franklin FTSE Target Price Odds to finish over 16.49

The tendency of Franklin Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 16.49  in 90 days
 16.80 90 days 16.49 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin FTSE to stay above $ 16.49  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Franklin FTSE Brazil probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin FTSE Brazil price to stay between $ 16.49  and its current price of $16.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Franklin FTSE has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin FTSE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin FTSE Brazil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin FTSE Brazil has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Franklin FTSE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin FTSE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin FTSE Brazil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3216.4917.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5616.7317.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1716.3317.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3616.8717.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin FTSE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin FTSE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin FTSE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin FTSE Brazil.

Franklin FTSE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin FTSE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin FTSE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin FTSE Brazil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin FTSE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Franklin FTSE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin FTSE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin FTSE Brazil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin FTSE Brazil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: EWZ Not Ideal, But Dont Write It Off Either - Seeking Alpha
The fund created five year return of -1.0%
Franklin FTSE Brazil retains 98.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Franklin FTSE Technical Analysis

Franklin FTSE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin FTSE Brazil. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin FTSE Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin FTSE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin FTSE's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin FTSE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin FTSE Brazil

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin FTSE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin FTSE Brazil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin FTSE Brazil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: EWZ Not Ideal, But Dont Write It Off Either - Seeking Alpha
The fund created five year return of -1.0%
Franklin FTSE Brazil retains 98.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether Franklin FTSE Brazil is a strong investment it is important to analyze Franklin FTSE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Franklin FTSE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Franklin Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Franklin FTSE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin FTSE Correlation, Franklin FTSE Hype Analysis, Franklin FTSE Volatility, Franklin FTSE History as well as Franklin FTSE Performance.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
The market value of Franklin FTSE Brazil is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin FTSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin FTSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin FTSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin FTSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin FTSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.