Flagstar Financial, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.31
| FLG Stock | 12.28 0.58 4.96% |
Flagstar |
Flagstar Financial, Target Price Odds to finish below 11.31
The tendency of Flagstar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.31 or more in 90 days |
| 12.28 | 90 days | 11.31 | about 68.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flagstar Financial, to drop to 11.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.04 (This Flagstar Financial, probability density function shows the probability of Flagstar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flagstar Financial, price to stay between 11.31 and its current price of 12.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.05 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.79 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Flagstar Financial, will likely underperform. Additionally Flagstar Financial, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Flagstar Financial, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flagstar Financial,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flagstar Financial,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Flagstar Financial, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flagstar Financial, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flagstar Financial,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flagstar Financial,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flagstar Financial, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Flagstar Financial, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flagstar Financial, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flagstar Financial, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flagstar Financial, had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Flagstar Financial, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Flagstar Financial, was previously known as New York Community and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol NYCB. | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (79 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Flagstar Financial, has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Flagstar Financial Inc Stock Price Up 4.55 percent on Nov 22 |
Flagstar Financial, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flagstar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flagstar Financial,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flagstar Financial,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 240.7 M | |
| Short Term Investments | 6.3 B |
Flagstar Financial, Technical Analysis
Flagstar Financial,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flagstar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flagstar Financial,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flagstar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flagstar Financial, Predictive Forecast Models
Flagstar Financial,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Flagstar Financial,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flagstar Financial,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flagstar Financial,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flagstar Financial, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flagstar Financial, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flagstar Financial, had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Flagstar Financial, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Flagstar Financial, was previously known as New York Community and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol NYCB. | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (79 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Flagstar Financial, has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Flagstar Financial Inc Stock Price Up 4.55 percent on Nov 22 |
Check out Flagstar Financial, Backtesting, Flagstar Financial, Valuation, Flagstar Financial, Correlation, Flagstar Financial, Hype Analysis, Flagstar Financial, Volatility, Flagstar Financial, History as well as Flagstar Financial, Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Flagstar Stock please use our How to Invest in Flagstar Financial, guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Banking space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flagstar Financial,. If investors know Flagstar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flagstar Financial, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Flagstar Financial, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flagstar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flagstar Financial,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flagstar Financial,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flagstar Financial,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flagstar Financial,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flagstar Financial,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flagstar Financial, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flagstar Financial,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.