Filament Health Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0264

FLHLF Stock  USD 0.03  0.01  14.29%   
Filament Health's future price is the expected price of Filament Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Filament Health Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Filament Health Backtesting, Filament Health Valuation, Filament Health Correlation, Filament Health Hype Analysis, Filament Health Volatility, Filament Health History as well as Filament Health Performance.
  
Please specify Filament Health's target price for which you would like Filament Health odds to be computed.

Filament Health Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0264

The tendency of Filament OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
about 1.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Filament Health to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.27 (This Filament Health Corp probability density function shows the probability of Filament OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Filament Health Corp price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $0.03 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Filament Health Corp has a beta of -0.57. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Filament Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Filament Health Corp is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Filament Health Corp has an alpha of 1.0679, implying that it can generate a 1.07 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Filament Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Filament Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Filament Health Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0315.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0315.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00050.0315.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Filament Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Filament Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Filament Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Filament Health Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Filament Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Filament Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Filament Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Filament Health Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Filament Health Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Filament Health Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Filament Health Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (9.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Filament Health Corp has accumulated about 3 M in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Filament Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Filament OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Filament Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Filament Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding164.8 M

Filament Health Technical Analysis

Filament Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Filament OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Filament Health Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Filament OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Filament Health Predictive Forecast Models

Filament Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Filament Health's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Filament Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Filament Health Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Filament Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Filament Health Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Filament Health Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Filament Health Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Filament Health Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (9.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Filament Health Corp has accumulated about 3 M in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Filament OTC Stock

Filament Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Filament OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Filament with respect to the benefits of owning Filament Health security.