Flight Centre (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.5
| FLI Stock | EUR 10.50 0.10 0.96% |
Flight |
Flight Centre Target Price Odds to finish below 10.5
The tendency of Flight Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 10.50 | 90 days | 10.50 | about 21.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flight Centre to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 21.22 (This Flight Centre Travel probability density function shows the probability of Flight Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Flight Centre has a beta of 0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flight Centre average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flight Centre Travel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flight Centre Travel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Flight Centre Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flight Centre
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flight Centre Travel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Flight Centre Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flight Centre is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flight Centre's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flight Centre Travel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flight Centre within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Flight Centre Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flight Centre for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flight Centre Travel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flight Centre Travel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flight Centre Travel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Flight Centre Travel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (286.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 100.64 M. | |
| Flight Centre Travel has accumulated about 1.09 B in cash with (101.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Flight Centre Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flight Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flight Centre's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flight Centre's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.8 M |
Flight Centre Technical Analysis
Flight Centre's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flight Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flight Centre Travel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flight Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flight Centre Predictive Forecast Models
Flight Centre's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flight Centre's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flight Centre's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flight Centre Travel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flight Centre for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flight Centre Travel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flight Centre Travel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flight Centre Travel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Flight Centre Travel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (286.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 100.64 M. | |
| Flight Centre Travel has accumulated about 1.09 B in cash with (101.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Flight Stock
Flight Centre financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flight Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flight with respect to the benefits of owning Flight Centre security.