Fluent Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.21
| FLNT Stock | USD 2.76 0.01 0.36% |
Fluent |
Fluent Target Price Odds to finish below 4.21
The tendency of Fluent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.21 after 90 days |
| 2.76 | 90 days | 4.21 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fluent to stay under $ 4.21 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Fluent Inc probability density function shows the probability of Fluent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fluent Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 2.76 and $ 4.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fluent Inc has a beta of -0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fluent are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fluent Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fluent Inc has an alpha of 0.0871, implying that it can generate a 0.0871 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fluent Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fluent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fluent Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fluent Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fluent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fluent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fluent Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fluent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Fluent Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fluent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fluent Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fluent Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Fluent Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 298.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 93.65 M. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fluent Incs Financial Stability at Risk Regulatory Hurdles and Urgent Capital Needs Threaten Future - MSN |
Fluent Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fluent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fluent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fluent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.8 M |
Fluent Technical Analysis
Fluent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fluent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fluent Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fluent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fluent Predictive Forecast Models
Fluent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fluent's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fluent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fluent Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fluent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fluent Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fluent Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Fluent Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 298.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 93.65 M. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fluent Incs Financial Stability at Risk Regulatory Hurdles and Urgent Capital Needs Threaten Future - MSN |
Additional Tools for Fluent Stock Analysis
When running Fluent's price analysis, check to measure Fluent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fluent is operating at the current time. Most of Fluent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fluent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fluent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fluent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.