Fluent Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| FLNT Stock | USD 3.80 0.05 1.30% |
Fluent Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Fluent's stock price is slightly above 66. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fluent, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 335.267 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.78) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.26) | Wall Street Target Price 2.5 |
Using Fluent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fluent Inc from the perspective of Fluent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fluent Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.54. Fluent after-hype prediction price | USD 3.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fluent to cross-verify your projections. Fluent Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fluent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fluent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fluent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fluent Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fluent Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fluent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fluent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fluent Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fluent | Fluent Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fluent Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fluent's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fluent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.15, respectively. We have considered Fluent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fluent stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fluent stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.618 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0454 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1089 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0413 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.535 |
Predictive Modules for Fluent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fluent Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fluent After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fluent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fluent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fluent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fluent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fluent's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fluent's historical news coverage. Fluent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 9.14, respectively. We have considered Fluent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fluent is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fluent Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fluent Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fluent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fluent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fluent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.25 | 5.35 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
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Fluent Hype Timeline
Fluent Inc is currently traded for 3.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Fluent is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fluent is about 14161.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.75. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.99. Fluent Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:6 split on the 12th of April 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fluent to cross-verify your projections.Fluent Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fluent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fluent's future price movements. Getting to know how Fluent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fluent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACCS | ACCESS Newswire | (0.57) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.58 | (6.05) | 25.77 | |
| ABLV | Able View Global | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.96 | (10.81) | 54.31 | |
| INUV | Inuvo Inc | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.30 | (9.06) | 56.41 | |
| TZUP | Thumzup Media | (0.06) | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.03 | (9.80) | 29.93 | |
| SCOR | Comscore | 0.25 | 11 per month | 2.69 | 0.07 | 6.86 | (5.23) | 21.93 | |
| TOON | Kartoon Studios | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.41 | (4.35) | 19.55 | |
| SDM | Smart Digital Group | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NIPG | NIP Group American | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.67 | (6.92) | 24.01 | |
| RDI | Reading International | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.17 | (4.51) | 14.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fluent
For every potential investor in Fluent, whether a beginner or expert, Fluent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fluent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fluent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fluent's price trends.Fluent Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fluent stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fluent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fluent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fluent Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fluent stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fluent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fluent stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fluent Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fluent Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fluent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fluent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fluent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.18 | |||
| Variance | 26.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fluent
The number of cover stories for Fluent depends on current market conditions and Fluent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fluent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fluent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fluent Short Properties
Fluent's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fluent's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fluent Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fluent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fluent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.4 M |
Additional Tools for Fluent Stock Analysis
When running Fluent's price analysis, check to measure Fluent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fluent is operating at the current time. Most of Fluent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fluent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fluent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fluent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.