Fidelity Intermediate Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.11

FLTMX Fund  USD 10.11  0.01  0.1%   
Fidelity Intermediate's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Intermediate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Intermediate Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Intermediate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Intermediate Correlation, Fidelity Intermediate Hype Analysis, Fidelity Intermediate Volatility, Fidelity Intermediate History as well as Fidelity Intermediate Performance.
  
Please specify Fidelity Intermediate's target price for which you would like Fidelity Intermediate odds to be computed.

Fidelity Intermediate Target Price Odds to finish over 10.11

The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.11 90 days 10.11 
about 65.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Intermediate to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.81 (This Fidelity Intermediate Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Intermediate has a beta of 0.0464. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fidelity Intermediate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidelity Intermediate Municipal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fidelity Intermediate Municipal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fidelity Intermediate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Intermediate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9210.1110.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.679.8611.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9410.1310.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0310.0810.14
Details

Fidelity Intermediate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Intermediate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Intermediate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Intermediate Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Intermediate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.57

Fidelity Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Intermediate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Intermediate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is FLTMX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains about 5.2% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Fidelity Intermediate Technical Analysis

Fidelity Intermediate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Intermediate Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Intermediate Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Intermediate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Intermediate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Intermediate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity Intermediate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Intermediate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Intermediate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is FLTMX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains about 5.2% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Intermediate security.
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