Flgger Group (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 325.93

FLUG-B Stock  DKK 326.00  2.00  0.62%   
Flgger Group's future price is the expected price of Flgger Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flgger group AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flgger Group Backtesting, Flgger Group Valuation, Flgger Group Correlation, Flgger Group Hype Analysis, Flgger Group Volatility, Flgger Group History as well as Flgger Group Performance.
  
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Flgger Group Target Price Odds to finish below 325.93

The tendency of Flgger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 325.93  or more in 90 days
 326.00 90 days 325.93 
about 8.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flgger Group to drop to kr 325.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.66 (This Flgger group AS probability density function shows the probability of Flgger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flgger group AS price to stay between kr 325.93  and its current price of kr326.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flgger group AS has a beta of -0.0728. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Flgger Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Flgger group AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Flgger group AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Flgger Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flgger Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flgger group AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
325.05326.00326.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
263.11264.06358.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
325.93326.87327.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
323.45325.33327.22
Details

Flgger Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flgger Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flgger Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flgger group AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flgger Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
8.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Flgger Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flgger Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flgger group AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flgger group AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Flgger Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flgger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flgger Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flgger Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Short Long Term Debt230.9 M

Flgger Group Technical Analysis

Flgger Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flgger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flgger group AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flgger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flgger Group Predictive Forecast Models

Flgger Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flgger Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flgger Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flgger group AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flgger Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flgger group AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flgger group AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Flgger Stock

Flgger Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flgger Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flgger with respect to the benefits of owning Flgger Group security.