Fluoguide (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.22

FLUO Stock  SEK 36.90  1.05  2.93%   
Fluoguide's future price is the expected price of Fluoguide instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fluoguide AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fluoguide Backtesting, Fluoguide Valuation, Fluoguide Correlation, Fluoguide Hype Analysis, Fluoguide Volatility, Fluoguide History as well as Fluoguide Performance.
  
Please specify Fluoguide's target price for which you would like Fluoguide odds to be computed.

Fluoguide Target Price Odds to finish over 33.22

The tendency of Fluoguide Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 33.22  in 90 days
 36.90 90 days 33.22 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fluoguide to stay above kr 33.22  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Fluoguide AS probability density function shows the probability of Fluoguide Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fluoguide AS price to stay between kr 33.22  and its current price of kr36.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fluoguide AS has a beta of -0.0026. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fluoguide are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fluoguide AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fluoguide AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fluoguide Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fluoguide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fluoguide AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.2936.9039.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7131.3240.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.5037.1239.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.9234.8936.85
Details

Fluoguide Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fluoguide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fluoguide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fluoguide AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fluoguide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0026
σ
Overall volatility
2.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Fluoguide Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fluoguide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fluoguide AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fluoguide AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fluoguide AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (23.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Fluoguide AS has accumulated about 49.71 M in cash with (15.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.39.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fluoguide Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fluoguide Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fluoguide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fluoguide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.8 M

Fluoguide Technical Analysis

Fluoguide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fluoguide Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fluoguide AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fluoguide Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fluoguide Predictive Forecast Models

Fluoguide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fluoguide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fluoguide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fluoguide AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fluoguide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fluoguide AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fluoguide AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fluoguide AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (23.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Fluoguide AS has accumulated about 49.71 M in cash with (15.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.39.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Fluoguide Stock Analysis

When running Fluoguide's price analysis, check to measure Fluoguide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fluoguide is operating at the current time. Most of Fluoguide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fluoguide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fluoguide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fluoguide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.