F M Bank Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 19.18

FMBM Stock  USD 20.50  0.25  1.20%   
F M's future price is the expected price of F M instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of F M Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out F M Backtesting, F M Valuation, F M Correlation, F M Hype Analysis, F M Volatility, F M History as well as F M Performance.
  
Please specify F M's target price for which you would like F M odds to be computed.

F M Target Price Odds to finish below 19.18

The tendency of FMBM OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 19.18  or more in 90 days
 20.50 90 days 19.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of F M to drop to $ 19.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This F M Bank probability density function shows the probability of FMBM OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of F M Bank price to stay between $ 19.18  and its current price of $20.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days F M Bank has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding F M are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, F M Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally F M Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   F M Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for F M

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as F M Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2920.5021.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6417.8522.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as F M. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against F M's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, F M's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in F M Bank.

F M Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. F M is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the F M's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold F M Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of F M within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

F M Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of F M for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for F M Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
F M Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

F M Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FMBM OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential F M's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F M's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.4 M
Dividends Paid3.6 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.04

F M Technical Analysis

F M's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FMBM OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of F M Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing FMBM OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

F M Predictive Forecast Models

F M's time-series forecasting models is one of many F M's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary F M's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about F M Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about F M for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for F M Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
F M Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in FMBM OTC Stock

F M financial ratios help investors to determine whether FMBM OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FMBM with respect to the benefits of owning F M security.