Federal Home Loan Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 11.93
| FMCCH Stock | USD 14.50 0.28 1.89% |
Federal |
Federal Home Target Price Odds to finish below 11.93
The tendency of Federal OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.93 or more in 90 days |
| 14.50 | 90 days | 11.93 | about 89.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Home to drop to $ 11.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.89 (This Federal Home Loan probability density function shows the probability of Federal OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federal Home Loan price to stay between $ 11.93 and its current price of $14.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 7.36 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Federal Home will likely underperform. Additionally Federal Home Loan has an alpha of 0.8924, implying that it can generate a 0.89 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Federal Home Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal Home
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Home Loan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Home's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federal Home Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Home Loan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 7.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Federal Home Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Home Loan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Home Loan is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Federal Home Loan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Federal Home Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 650.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124.2 B |
Federal Home Technical Analysis
Federal Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federal OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federal Home Loan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federal OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Federal Home Predictive Forecast Models
Federal Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federal Home's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federal Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Federal Home Loan
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Home Loan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Federal Home Loan is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Federal Home Loan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in Federal OTC Stock
Federal Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal Home security.