FM Mattsson (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.56

FMM-B Stock  SEK 51.40  1.00  1.91%   
FM Mattsson's future price is the expected price of FM Mattsson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FM Mattsson Mora performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FM Mattsson Backtesting, FM Mattsson Valuation, FM Mattsson Correlation, FM Mattsson Hype Analysis, FM Mattsson Volatility, FM Mattsson History as well as FM Mattsson Performance.
  
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FM Mattsson Target Price Odds to finish below 45.56

The tendency of FMM-B Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 45.56  or more in 90 days
 51.40 90 days 45.56 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FM Mattsson to drop to kr 45.56  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FM Mattsson Mora probability density function shows the probability of FMM-B Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FM Mattsson Mora price to stay between kr 45.56  and its current price of kr51.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FM Mattsson Mora has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FM Mattsson are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FM Mattsson Mora is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FM Mattsson Mora has an alpha of 0.0783, implying that it can generate a 0.0783 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FM Mattsson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FM Mattsson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FM Mattsson Mora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.5351.4053.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.1343.0056.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.9050.7752.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.7751.7952.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FM Mattsson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FM Mattsson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FM Mattsson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FM Mattsson Mora.

FM Mattsson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FM Mattsson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FM Mattsson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FM Mattsson Mora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FM Mattsson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

FM Mattsson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FM Mattsson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FM Mattsson Mora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

FM Mattsson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FMM-B Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FM Mattsson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FM Mattsson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments193.9 M

FM Mattsson Technical Analysis

FM Mattsson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FMM-B Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FM Mattsson Mora. In general, you should focus on analyzing FMM-B Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FM Mattsson Predictive Forecast Models

FM Mattsson's time-series forecasting models is one of many FM Mattsson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FM Mattsson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FM Mattsson Mora

Checking the ongoing alerts about FM Mattsson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FM Mattsson Mora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for FMM-B Stock Analysis

When running FM Mattsson's price analysis, check to measure FM Mattsson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FM Mattsson is operating at the current time. Most of FM Mattsson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FM Mattsson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FM Mattsson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FM Mattsson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.