Focus Graphite Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0737
| FMS Stock | CAD 0.08 0.01 11.11% |
Focus |
Focus Graphite Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0737
The tendency of Focus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 0.08 | 90 days | 0.07 | about 9.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Focus Graphite to drop to C$ 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.18 (This Focus Graphite probability density function shows the probability of Focus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Focus Graphite price to stay between C$ 0.07 and its current price of C$0.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Focus Graphite has a beta of 0.42. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Focus Graphite average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Focus Graphite will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Focus Graphite has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Focus Graphite Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Focus Graphite
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Focus Graphite. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Focus Graphite Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Focus Graphite is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Focus Graphite's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Focus Graphite, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Focus Graphite within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Focus Graphite Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Focus Graphite for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Focus Graphite can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Focus Graphite generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Focus Graphite has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Focus Graphite has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Focus Graphite has accumulated 60 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.1, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Focus Graphite has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Focus Graphite until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Focus Graphite's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Focus Graphite sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Focus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Focus Graphite's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Focus Graphite has accumulated about 45.7 K in cash with (1.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Focus Graphite Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Focus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Focus Graphite's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Focus Graphite's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 137.7 K |
Focus Graphite Technical Analysis
Focus Graphite's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Focus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Focus Graphite. In general, you should focus on analyzing Focus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Focus Graphite Predictive Forecast Models
Focus Graphite's time-series forecasting models is one of many Focus Graphite's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Focus Graphite's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Focus Graphite
Checking the ongoing alerts about Focus Graphite for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Focus Graphite help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Focus Graphite generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Focus Graphite has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Focus Graphite has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Focus Graphite has accumulated 60 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.1, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Focus Graphite has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Focus Graphite until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Focus Graphite's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Focus Graphite sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Focus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Focus Graphite's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Focus Graphite has accumulated about 45.7 K in cash with (1.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Focus Stock Analysis
When running Focus Graphite's price analysis, check to measure Focus Graphite's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Focus Graphite is operating at the current time. Most of Focus Graphite's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Focus Graphite's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Focus Graphite's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Focus Graphite to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.