Foremost Lithium Resource Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.23
| FMSTW Stock | 0.32 0.08 33.33% |
Foremost |
Foremost Lithium Target Price Odds to finish below 0.23
The tendency of Foremost Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.23 or more in 90 days |
| 0.32 | 90 days | 0.23 | about 9.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Foremost Lithium to drop to 0.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.09 (This Foremost Lithium Resource probability density function shows the probability of Foremost Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Foremost Lithium Resource price to stay between 0.23 and its current price of 0.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.44 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Foremost Lithium will likely underperform. Moreover Foremost Lithium Resource has an alpha of 1.549, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Foremost Lithium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Foremost Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foremost Lithium Resource. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Foremost Lithium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Foremost Lithium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Foremost Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Foremost Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Foremost Lithium Resource, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Foremost Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 5.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Foremost Lithium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Foremost Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Foremost Lithium Resource can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Foremost Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Foremost Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Foremost Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Foremost Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Foremost Lithium generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foremost Clean Energy Announces Share Exchange Plan - TipRanks |
Foremost Lithium Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Foremost Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Foremost Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Foremost Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 998.3 K |
Foremost Lithium Technical Analysis
Foremost Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Foremost Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Foremost Lithium Resource. In general, you should focus on analyzing Foremost Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Foremost Lithium Predictive Forecast Models
Foremost Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Foremost Lithium's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Foremost Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Foremost Lithium Resource
Checking the ongoing alerts about Foremost Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Foremost Lithium Resource help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Foremost Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Foremost Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Foremost Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Foremost Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Foremost Lithium generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foremost Clean Energy Announces Share Exchange Plan - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Foremost Stock Analysis
When running Foremost Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Foremost Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foremost Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Foremost Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foremost Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foremost Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foremost Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.