Foremost Lithium Resource Stock Volatility
| FMSTW Stock | 0.24 0.05 17.24% |
Foremost Lithium appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Foremost Lithium Resource secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0207, which denotes the company had a 0.0207% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Foremost Lithium Resource, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Foremost Lithium's Coefficient Of Variation of 1634.81, downside deviation of 20.21, and Mean Deviation of 15.86 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Foremost Lithium's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Foremost Lithium Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Foremost daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Foremost's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Foremost Lithium volatility.
Foremost |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Foremost Lithium can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Foremost Lithium at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Foremost stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Foremost Lithium's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Foremost Stock
| 0.57 | CMP | Compass Minerals Int | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | SKE | Skeena Resources | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | EMX | EMX Royalty Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | SLI | Standard Lithium | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | NVA | Nova Minerals Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | LAC | Lithium Americas Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | PLL | Piedmont Lithium | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | MP | MP Materials Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | FURY | Fury Gold Mines | PairCorr |
Foremost Lithium Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Foremost Lithium's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Foremost stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Foremost stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Foremost Lithium's beta of 5.27 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Foremost Lithium stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Foremost Lithium Resource is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Foremost Lithium Resource is a potential penny stock. Although Foremost Lithium may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Foremost Lithium Resource. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Foremost instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Foremost Lithium Resource Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Foremost Lithium correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Foremost Beta |
Foremost standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 16.94 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Foremost Lithium's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Foremost Lithium's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in foremost stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Foremost Lithium.
Foremost Lithium Resource Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Foremost Lithium stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Foremost Lithium's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Foremost Lithium's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Foremost Lithium's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Foremost Lithium's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Foremost Lithium's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Foremost Lithium's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Foremost Lithium's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Foremost Lithium Resource Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Foremost Lithium Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.2741 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Foremost Lithium will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Foremost Lithium or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Foremost Lithium's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Foremost stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Foremost Lithium Resource has an alpha of 0.9111, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Foremost Lithium Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Foremost Lithium Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Foremost Lithium is 4823.72. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 286.84 and standard deviation of 16.94. The mean deviation of Foremost Lithium Resource is currently at 13.05. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 5.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Foremost Lithium Stock Return Volatility
Foremost Lithium historical daily return volatility represents how much of Foremost Lithium stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The venture shows 16.9363% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Foremost Lithium Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Foremost Lithium or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Foremost Lithium may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Foremost's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Foremost Lithium and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Foremost Lithium fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 142.2 K | 253.7 K | |
| Market Cap | 29.3 M | 30.8 M |
Foremost Lithium's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Foremost Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Foremost Lithium's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Foremost Lithium's volatility to invest better
Higher Foremost Lithium's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Foremost Lithium Resource stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Foremost Lithium Resource stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Foremost Lithium Resource investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Foremost Lithium's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Foremost Lithium's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Foremost Lithium Investment Opportunity
Foremost Lithium Resource has a volatility of 16.94 and is 22.0 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Foremost Lithium Resource is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Foremost Lithium Resource to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Foremost Lithium to be traded at 0.228 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Foremost Lithium Resource and DJI is 0.16 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Foremost Lithium Resource and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Foremost Lithium Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Foremost Lithium's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Foremost Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Foremost Lithium stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0566 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3035 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 15.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 20.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1634.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 25.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Foremost Lithium Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Foremost Lithium as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Foremost Lithium's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Foremost Lithium's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Foremost Lithium Resource.
Additional Tools for Foremost Stock Analysis
When running Foremost Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Foremost Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foremost Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Foremost Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foremost Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foremost Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foremost Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.