VERU INC (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.43

FMW Stock  EUR 0.65  0.04  5.80%   
VERU INC's future price is the expected price of VERU INC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VERU INC DL 01 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VERU INC Backtesting, VERU INC Valuation, VERU INC Correlation, VERU INC Hype Analysis, VERU INC Volatility, VERU INC History as well as VERU INC Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in VERU Stock please use our How to Invest in VERU INC guide.
  
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VERU INC Target Price Odds to finish over 13.43

The tendency of VERU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 13.43  or more in 90 days
 0.65 90 days 13.43 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VERU INC to move over € 13.43  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This VERU INC DL 01 probability density function shows the probability of VERU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VERU INC DL price to stay between its current price of € 0.65  and € 13.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon VERU INC DL 01 has a beta of -0.4. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VERU INC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VERU INC DL 01 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VERU INC DL 01 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VERU INC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VERU INC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VERU INC DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.654.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.574.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.584.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.560.650.75
Details

VERU INC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VERU INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VERU INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VERU INC DL 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VERU INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0034
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.0081

VERU INC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VERU INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VERU INC DL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VERU INC DL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VERU INC DL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
VERU INC DL has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 39.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (476.2 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.59 M.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

VERU INC Technical Analysis

VERU INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VERU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VERU INC DL 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing VERU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VERU INC Predictive Forecast Models

VERU INC's time-series forecasting models is one of many VERU INC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VERU INC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VERU INC DL

Checking the ongoing alerts about VERU INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VERU INC DL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VERU INC DL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VERU INC DL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
VERU INC DL has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 39.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (476.2 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.59 M.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in VERU Stock

VERU INC financial ratios help investors to determine whether VERU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VERU with respect to the benefits of owning VERU INC security.