Finemark Holdings Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 25.89

FNBT Stock  USD 26.80  0.60  2.19%   
FineMark Holdings' future price is the expected price of FineMark Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FineMark Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FineMark Holdings Backtesting, FineMark Holdings Valuation, FineMark Holdings Correlation, FineMark Holdings Hype Analysis, FineMark Holdings Volatility, FineMark Holdings History as well as FineMark Holdings Performance.
  
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FineMark Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 25.89

The tendency of FineMark OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 25.89  in 90 days
 26.80 90 days 25.89 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FineMark Holdings to stay above $ 25.89  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FineMark Holdings probability density function shows the probability of FineMark OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FineMark Holdings price to stay between $ 25.89  and its current price of $26.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FineMark Holdings has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FineMark Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FineMark Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FineMark Holdings has an alpha of 0.0179, implying that it can generate a 0.0179 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FineMark Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FineMark Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FineMark Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3526.8027.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.3326.7827.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.3326.7827.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.8327.2227.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FineMark Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FineMark Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FineMark Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FineMark Holdings.

FineMark Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FineMark Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FineMark Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FineMark Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FineMark Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

FineMark Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FineMark OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FineMark Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FineMark Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.6 M

FineMark Holdings Technical Analysis

FineMark Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FineMark OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FineMark Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing FineMark OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FineMark Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

FineMark Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many FineMark Holdings' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FineMark Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FineMark Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FineMark Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FineMark Holdings options trading.

Additional Tools for FineMark OTC Stock Analysis

When running FineMark Holdings' price analysis, check to measure FineMark Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FineMark Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of FineMark Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FineMark Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FineMark Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FineMark Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.