Microsectors Fang Index Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 16.52

FNGD Etf  USD 16.52  0.12  0.72%   
MicroSectors FANG's future price is the expected price of MicroSectors FANG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MicroSectors FANG Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MicroSectors FANG Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, MicroSectors FANG Correlation, MicroSectors FANG Hype Analysis, MicroSectors FANG Volatility, MicroSectors FANG History as well as MicroSectors FANG Performance.
  
Please specify MicroSectors FANG's target price for which you would like MicroSectors FANG odds to be computed.

MicroSectors FANG Target Price Odds to finish over 16.52

The tendency of MicroSectors Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.52 90 days 16.52 
about 92.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MicroSectors FANG to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.89 (This MicroSectors FANG Index probability density function shows the probability of MicroSectors Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MicroSectors FANG Index has a beta of -3.29. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding MicroSectors FANG Index are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, MicroSectors FANG is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally MicroSectors FANG Index has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MicroSectors FANG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MicroSectors FANG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MicroSectors FANG Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3516.5220.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2916.4620.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3117.4821.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.0217.9620.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MicroSectors FANG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MicroSectors FANG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MicroSectors FANG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MicroSectors FANG Index.

MicroSectors FANG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MicroSectors FANG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MicroSectors FANG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MicroSectors FANG Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MicroSectors FANG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.29
σ
Overall volatility
3.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

MicroSectors FANG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MicroSectors FANG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MicroSectors FANG Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MicroSectors FANG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MicroSectors FANG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MicroSectors FANG Index created five year return of -77.0%
This fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

MicroSectors FANG Technical Analysis

MicroSectors FANG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MicroSectors Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MicroSectors FANG Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing MicroSectors Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MicroSectors FANG Predictive Forecast Models

MicroSectors FANG's time-series forecasting models is one of many MicroSectors FANG's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MicroSectors FANG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MicroSectors FANG Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about MicroSectors FANG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MicroSectors FANG Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MicroSectors FANG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MicroSectors FANG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MicroSectors FANG Index created five year return of -77.0%
This fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether MicroSectors FANG Index is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if MicroSectors Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsectors Fang Index Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsectors Fang Index Etf:
The market value of MicroSectors FANG Index is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MicroSectors that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MicroSectors FANG's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MicroSectors FANG's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MicroSectors FANG's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MicroSectors FANG's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MicroSectors FANG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MicroSectors FANG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MicroSectors FANG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.