Franklin Oregon Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.27

FOFRX Fund  USD 10.58  0.01  0.09%   
Franklin Oregon's future price is the expected price of Franklin Oregon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Oregon Tax Free performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Oregon Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Oregon Correlation, Franklin Oregon Hype Analysis, Franklin Oregon Volatility, Franklin Oregon History as well as Franklin Oregon Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Oregon's target price for which you would like Franklin Oregon odds to be computed.

Franklin Oregon Target Price Odds to finish over 11.27

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.27  or more in 90 days
 10.58 90 days 11.27 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Oregon to move over $ 11.27  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Franklin Oregon Tax Free probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Oregon Tax price to stay between its current price of $ 10.58  and $ 11.27  at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Oregon Tax Free has a beta of -0.092. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Franklin Oregon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Franklin Oregon Tax Free is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Franklin Oregon Tax Free has an alpha of 0.0114, implying that it can generate a 0.0114 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin Oregon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Oregon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Oregon Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3510.5810.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9710.2011.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3410.5710.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4310.5110.60
Details

Franklin Oregon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Oregon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Oregon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Oregon Tax Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Oregon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.52

Franklin Oregon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Oregon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Oregon Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin Oregon Tax retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Franklin Oregon Technical Analysis

Franklin Oregon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Oregon Tax Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Oregon Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Oregon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Oregon's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Oregon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Oregon Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Oregon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Oregon Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin Oregon Tax retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Oregon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Oregon security.
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