FOM Technologies (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.56
| FOM Stock | DKK 9.50 0.24 2.46% |
FOM |
FOM Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 3.56
The tendency of FOM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 3.56 or more in 90 days |
| 9.50 | 90 days | 3.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FOM Technologies to drop to kr 3.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FOM Technologies AS probability density function shows the probability of FOM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FOM Technologies price to stay between kr 3.56 and its current price of kr9.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This usually indicates FOM Technologies AS market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FOM Technologies is expected to follow. Additionally FOM Technologies AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FOM Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FOM Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FOM Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FOM Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FOM Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FOM Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FOM Technologies AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FOM Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
FOM Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FOM Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FOM Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FOM Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FOM Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| FOM Technologies AS has accumulated about 8.76 M in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
FOM Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FOM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FOM Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FOM Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.4 M |
FOM Technologies Technical Analysis
FOM Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FOM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FOM Technologies AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing FOM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FOM Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
FOM Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many FOM Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FOM Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FOM Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about FOM Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FOM Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FOM Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FOM Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| FOM Technologies AS has accumulated about 8.76 M in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in FOM Stock
FOM Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether FOM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FOM with respect to the benefits of owning FOM Technologies security.