Forus SA (Chile) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2350.00

FORUS Stock  CLP 2,350  10.00  0.43%   
Forus SA's future price is the expected price of Forus SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Forus SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Forus SA Backtesting, Forus SA Valuation, Forus SA Correlation, Forus SA Hype Analysis, Forus SA Volatility, Forus SA History as well as Forus SA Performance.
  
Please specify Forus SA's target price for which you would like Forus SA odds to be computed.

Forus SA Target Price Odds to finish over 2350.00

The tendency of Forus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,350 90 days 2,350 
about 11.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forus SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.03 (This Forus SA probability density function shows the probability of Forus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Forus SA has a beta of -0.029. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Forus SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Forus SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Forus SA has an alpha of 0.0784, implying that it can generate a 0.0784 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Forus SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Forus SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forus SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Forus SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,3482,3502,352
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0962,0982,585
Details

Forus SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forus SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forus SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forus SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forus SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
89.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Forus SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forus SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forus SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Forus SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Forus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Forus SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forus SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Forus SA Technical Analysis

Forus SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Forus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Forus SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Forus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Forus SA Predictive Forecast Models

Forus SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Forus SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Forus SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Forus SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Forus SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Forus SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Forus Stock Analysis

When running Forus SA's price analysis, check to measure Forus SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forus SA is operating at the current time. Most of Forus SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forus SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forus SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forus SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.