Foxo Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.55
| FOXO Stock | USD 0.54 0.06 10.00% |
FOXO |
FOXO Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.55
The tendency of FOXO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.55 after 90 days |
| 0.54 | 90 days | 0.55 | about 90.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FOXO Technologies to stay under $ 0.55 after 90 days from now is about 90.85 (This FOXO Technologies probability density function shows the probability of FOXO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FOXO Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 0.54 and $ 0.55 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 41.46 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FOXO Technologies will likely underperform. Moreover FOXO Technologies has an alpha of 1.7356, implying that it can generate a 1.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FOXO Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FOXO Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FOXO Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FOXO Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FOXO Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FOXO Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FOXO Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FOXO Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FOXO Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 41.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
FOXO Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FOXO Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FOXO Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FOXO Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FOXO Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FOXO Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FOXO Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FOXO Technologies currently holds 4.2 M in liabilities. FOXO Technologies has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about FOXO Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 145 K. Net Loss for the year was (26.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 120 K. | |
| FOXO Technologies currently holds about 18.5 M in cash with (6.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Nasdaq Surges 1 Hershey Posts Downbeat Q3 Results |
FOXO Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FOXO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FOXO Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FOXO Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38 K |
FOXO Technologies Technical Analysis
FOXO Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FOXO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FOXO Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing FOXO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FOXO Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
FOXO Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many FOXO Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FOXO Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FOXO Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about FOXO Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FOXO Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FOXO Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FOXO Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FOXO Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FOXO Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FOXO Technologies currently holds 4.2 M in liabilities. FOXO Technologies has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about FOXO Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 145 K. Net Loss for the year was (26.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 120 K. | |
| FOXO Technologies currently holds about 18.5 M in cash with (6.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Nasdaq Surges 1 Hershey Posts Downbeat Q3 Results |
Check out FOXO Technologies Backtesting, FOXO Technologies Valuation, FOXO Technologies Correlation, FOXO Technologies Hype Analysis, FOXO Technologies Volatility, FOXO Technologies History as well as FOXO Technologies Performance. To learn how to invest in FOXO Stock, please use our How to Invest in FOXO Technologies guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FOXO Technologies. If investors know FOXO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FOXO Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.05 | Revenue Per Share 0.02 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.333 | Return On Assets (1.14) | Return On Equity (17.55) |
The market value of FOXO Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FOXO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FOXO Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FOXO Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FOXO Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FOXO Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FOXO Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FOXO Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FOXO Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.