Fram Skandinavien (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.8

FRAM-B Stock  SEK 7.55  0.25  3.21%   
Fram Skandinavien's future price is the expected price of Fram Skandinavien instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fram Skandinavien AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fram Skandinavien Backtesting, Fram Skandinavien Valuation, Fram Skandinavien Correlation, Fram Skandinavien Hype Analysis, Fram Skandinavien Volatility, Fram Skandinavien History as well as Fram Skandinavien Performance.
  
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Fram Skandinavien Target Price Odds to finish over 7.8

The tendency of Fram Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 7.80  or more in 90 days
 7.55 90 days 7.80 
about 90.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fram Skandinavien to move over kr 7.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.14 (This Fram Skandinavien AB probability density function shows the probability of Fram Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fram Skandinavien price to stay between its current price of kr 7.55  and kr 7.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fram Skandinavien has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fram Skandinavien average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fram Skandinavien AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fram Skandinavien AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fram Skandinavien Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fram Skandinavien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fram Skandinavien. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.557.8011.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.247.4910.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.227.4610.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.587.757.92
Details

Fram Skandinavien Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fram Skandinavien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fram Skandinavien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fram Skandinavien AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fram Skandinavien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.99
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Fram Skandinavien Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fram Skandinavien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fram Skandinavien can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fram Skandinavien generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fram Skandinavien has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 46.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 652 K.
Fram Skandinavien AB has accumulated about 63.28 M in cash with (14.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fram Skandinavien Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fram Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fram Skandinavien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fram Skandinavien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.8 M

Fram Skandinavien Technical Analysis

Fram Skandinavien's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fram Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fram Skandinavien AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fram Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fram Skandinavien Predictive Forecast Models

Fram Skandinavien's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fram Skandinavien's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fram Skandinavien's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fram Skandinavien

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fram Skandinavien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fram Skandinavien help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fram Skandinavien generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fram Skandinavien has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 46.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 652 K.
Fram Skandinavien AB has accumulated about 63.28 M in cash with (14.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fram Stock

Fram Skandinavien financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fram Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fram with respect to the benefits of owning Fram Skandinavien security.