Fras Le (Brazil) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.74
| FRAS3 Stock | BRL 20.36 0.26 1.29% |
Fras |
Fras Le Target Price Odds to finish below 19.74
The tendency of Fras Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 19.74 or more in 90 days |
| 20.36 | 90 days | 19.74 | about 8.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fras Le to drop to R$ 19.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.49 (This Fras le SA probability density function shows the probability of Fras Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fras le SA price to stay between R$ 19.74 and its current price of R$20.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fras Le has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fras Le average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fras le SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fras le SA has an alpha of 0.0278, implying that it can generate a 0.0278 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fras Le Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fras Le
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fras le SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fras Le Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fras Le is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fras Le's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fras le SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fras Le within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Fras Le Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fras Le for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fras le SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Fras Le Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fras Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fras Le's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fras Le's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 363.7 M |
Fras Le Technical Analysis
Fras Le's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fras Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fras le SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fras Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fras Le Predictive Forecast Models
Fras Le's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fras Le's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fras Le's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fras le SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fras Le for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fras le SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Fras Stock Analysis
When running Fras Le's price analysis, check to measure Fras Le's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fras Le is operating at the current time. Most of Fras Le's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fras Le's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fras Le's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fras Le to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.