Fras Le (Brazil) Price Prediction
| FRAS3 Stock | BRL 20.00 0.59 2.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fras Le hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fras le SA from the perspective of Fras Le response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fras Le to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fras because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fras Le after-hype prediction price | BRL 20.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fras |
Fras Le After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fras Le at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fras Le or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fras Le, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fras Le Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fras Le's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fras Le's historical news coverage. Fras Le's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.74 and 21.26, respectively. We have considered Fras Le's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fras Le is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fras le SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fras Le Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fras Le is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fras Le backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fras Le, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 |
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Fras Le Hype Timeline
Fras le SA is currently traded for 20.00on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fras is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fras Le is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.00. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.54. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fras le SA last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2022. The entity had 5:4 split on the 15th of April 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Fras Le Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fras Le Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fras Le's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fras Le's future price movements. Getting to know how Fras Le's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fras Le may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BIDU34 | Baidu Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | (0.04) | 4.84 | (5.32) | 14.79 | |
| DBAG34 | Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.08 | 2.48 | (1.90) | 9.91 | |
| H1SB34 | HSBC Holdings plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.1 | 1.93 | (2.14) | 7.71 | |
| BONY34 | The Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.23 | 2.26 | (1.97) | 5.10 | |
| BGIP4 | Banco do Estado | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.54 | (3.20) | 9.09 | |
| BABA34 | Alibaba Group Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 4.70 | (3.50) | 15.57 |
Fras Le Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fras price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fras using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fras charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fras Le Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fras Le stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fras le SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fras Le based on analysis of Fras Le hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fras Le's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fras Le's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Fras Le
The number of cover stories for Fras Le depends on current market conditions and Fras Le's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fras Le is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fras Le's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fras Le Short Properties
Fras Le's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fras Le's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fras le SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fras Le's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fras Le's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 363.7 M |
Additional Tools for Fras Stock Analysis
When running Fras Le's price analysis, check to measure Fras Le's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fras Le is operating at the current time. Most of Fras Le's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fras Le's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fras Le's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fras Le to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.