Growth Allocation Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.16

FRGAX Fund  USD 11.16  0.01  0.09%   
Growth Allocation's future price is the expected price of Growth Allocation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Growth Allocation Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Growth Allocation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Growth Allocation Correlation, Growth Allocation Hype Analysis, Growth Allocation Volatility, Growth Allocation History as well as Growth Allocation Performance.
  
Please specify Growth Allocation's target price for which you would like Growth Allocation odds to be computed.

Growth Allocation Target Price Odds to finish over 11.16

The tendency of Growth Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.16 90 days 11.16 
about 26.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Growth Allocation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.92 (This Growth Allocation Index probability density function shows the probability of Growth Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Growth Allocation Index has a beta of -0.0331. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Growth Allocation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Growth Allocation Index is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Growth Allocation Index has an alpha of 0.029, implying that it can generate a 0.029 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Growth Allocation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Growth Allocation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Growth Allocation Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5611.0711.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9811.1511.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Growth Allocation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Growth Allocation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Growth Allocation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Growth Allocation Index.

Growth Allocation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Growth Allocation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Growth Allocation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Growth Allocation Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Growth Allocation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Growth Allocation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Growth Allocation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Growth Allocation Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Tech Funds to Boost Your Portfolio on the Ongoing Nasdaq Rally - MSN
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Growth Allocation Technical Analysis

Growth Allocation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Growth Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Growth Allocation Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Growth Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Growth Allocation Predictive Forecast Models

Growth Allocation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Growth Allocation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Growth Allocation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Growth Allocation Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about Growth Allocation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Growth Allocation Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Tech Funds to Boost Your Portfolio on the Ongoing Nasdaq Rally - MSN
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Growth Mutual Fund

Growth Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Growth Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Growth with respect to the benefits of owning Growth Allocation security.
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