Frigo Pak (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.83

FRIGO Stock  TRY 8.43  0.05  0.60%   
Frigo Pak's future price is the expected price of Frigo Pak instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Frigo Pak Backtesting, Frigo Pak Valuation, Frigo Pak Correlation, Frigo Pak Hype Analysis, Frigo Pak Volatility, Frigo Pak History as well as Frigo Pak Performance.
  
Please specify Frigo Pak's target price for which you would like Frigo Pak odds to be computed.

Frigo Pak Target Price Odds to finish over 10.83

The tendency of Frigo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  10.83  or more in 90 days
 8.43 90 days 10.83 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frigo Pak to move over  10.83  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri probability density function shows the probability of Frigo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frigo Pak Gida price to stay between its current price of  8.43  and  10.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Frigo Pak has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Frigo Pak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri has an alpha of 0.2171, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Frigo Pak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Frigo Pak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frigo Pak Gida. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.938.3810.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.356.809.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.068.5210.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.988.208.41
Details

Frigo Pak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frigo Pak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frigo Pak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frigo Pak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Frigo Pak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frigo Pak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frigo Pak Gida can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri has accumulated about 16.08 M in cash with (25.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.45.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Frigo Pak Technical Analysis

Frigo Pak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frigo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frigo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Frigo Pak Predictive Forecast Models

Frigo Pak's time-series forecasting models is one of many Frigo Pak's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frigo Pak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Frigo Pak Gida

Checking the ongoing alerts about Frigo Pak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frigo Pak Gida help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frigo Pak Gida Maddeleri has accumulated about 16.08 M in cash with (25.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.45.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Frigo Stock

Frigo Pak financial ratios help investors to determine whether Frigo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Frigo with respect to the benefits of owning Frigo Pak security.