Franklin Missouri Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.74

FRMZX Fund  USD 10.51  0.02  0.19%   
Franklin Missouri's future price is the expected price of Franklin Missouri instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Missouri Tax Free performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Missouri Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Missouri Correlation, Franklin Missouri Hype Analysis, Franklin Missouri Volatility, Franklin Missouri History as well as Franklin Missouri Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Missouri's target price for which you would like Franklin Missouri odds to be computed.

Franklin Missouri Target Price Odds to finish below 9.74

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.74  or more in 90 days
 10.51 90 days 9.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Missouri to drop to $ 9.74  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Franklin Missouri Tax Free probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Missouri Tax price to stay between $ 9.74  and its current price of $10.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Missouri has a beta of 0.0351. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin Missouri average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin Missouri Tax Free will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin Missouri Tax Free has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Franklin Missouri Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Missouri

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Missouri Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2610.5110.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2610.5110.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2810.5310.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5110.5110.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Missouri. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Missouri's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Missouri's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Missouri Tax.

Franklin Missouri Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Missouri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Missouri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Missouri Tax Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Missouri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0038
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.48

Franklin Missouri Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Missouri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Missouri Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin Missouri Tax retains about 99.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Franklin Missouri Technical Analysis

Franklin Missouri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Missouri Tax Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Missouri Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Missouri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Missouri's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Missouri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Missouri Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Missouri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Missouri Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin Missouri Tax retains about 99.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Missouri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Missouri security.
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