Defense And Aerospace Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 22.08
| FSDAX Fund | USD 20.07 0.18 0.90% |
Defense |
Defense And Target Price Odds to finish over 22.08
The tendency of Defense Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 22.08 or more in 90 days |
| 20.07 | 90 days | 22.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defense And to move over $ 22.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Defense And Aerospace probability density function shows the probability of Defense Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Defense And Aerospace price to stay between its current price of $ 20.07 and $ 22.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Defense And has a beta of 0.98. This usually indicates Defense And Aerospace market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Defense And is expected to follow. Additionally Defense And Aerospace has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Defense And Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Defense And
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defense And Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Defense And Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defense And is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defense And's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defense And Aerospace, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defense And within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Defense And Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defense And for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defense And Aerospace can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 99.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Defense And Technical Analysis
Defense And's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Defense Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Defense And Aerospace. In general, you should focus on analyzing Defense Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Defense And Predictive Forecast Models
Defense And's time-series forecasting models is one of many Defense And's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Defense And's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Defense And Aerospace
Checking the ongoing alerts about Defense And for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Defense And Aerospace help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 99.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Defense Mutual Fund
Defense And financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defense Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defense with respect to the benefits of owning Defense And security.
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