Flagship Investments (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.63

FSI Stock   2.05  0.01  0.49%   
Flagship Investments' future price is the expected price of Flagship Investments instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flagship Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flagship Investments Backtesting, Flagship Investments Valuation, Flagship Investments Correlation, Flagship Investments Hype Analysis, Flagship Investments Volatility, Flagship Investments History as well as Flagship Investments Performance.
  
Please specify Flagship Investments' target price for which you would like Flagship Investments odds to be computed.

Flagship Investments Target Price Odds to finish over 5.63

The tendency of Flagship Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.63  or more in 90 days
 2.05 90 days 5.63 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flagship Investments to move over  5.63  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Flagship Investments probability density function shows the probability of Flagship Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flagship Investments price to stay between its current price of  2.05  and  5.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flagship Investments has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flagship Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flagship Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flagship Investments has an alpha of 0.0157, implying that it can generate a 0.0157 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Flagship Investments Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flagship Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flagship Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.842.053.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.781.993.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.842.053.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.052.052.05
Details

Flagship Investments Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flagship Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flagship Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flagship Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flagship Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Flagship Investments Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flagship Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flagship Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flagship Investments has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.79 M.
Flagship Investments generates negative cash flow from operations
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Flagship Investments Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flagship Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flagship Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flagship Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 M

Flagship Investments Technical Analysis

Flagship Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flagship Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flagship Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flagship Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flagship Investments Predictive Forecast Models

Flagship Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Flagship Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flagship Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flagship Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flagship Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flagship Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flagship Investments has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.79 M.
Flagship Investments generates negative cash flow from operations
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Flagship Stock Analysis

When running Flagship Investments' price analysis, check to measure Flagship Investments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flagship Investments is operating at the current time. Most of Flagship Investments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flagship Investments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flagship Investments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flagship Investments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.