First State Financial Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.04
| FSTFDelisted Stock | USD 0.04 0.00 0.00% |
First |
First State Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 77.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First State to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.34 (This First State Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First State Financial price to stay between $ 0.04 and its current price of $0.0447 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First State Financial has a beta of -0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First State are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First State Financial is likely to outperform the market. Moreover First State Financial has an alpha of 1.9979, implying that it can generate a 2.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First State Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First State
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First State Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First State's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First State Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First State is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First State's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First State Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First State within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
First State Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First State for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First State Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First State is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| First State has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| First State has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (21.14 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.04 M). |
First State Technical Analysis
First State's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First State Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First State Predictive Forecast Models
First State's time-series forecasting models is one of many First State's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First State's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about First State Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about First State for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First State Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| First State is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| First State has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| First State has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (21.14 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.04 M). |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in First Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in First State Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First State's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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