First State Financial Stock Performance
| FSTF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, First State holds a performance score of 2. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0226, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First State are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First State is likely to outperform the market. Please check First State's jensen alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether First State's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First State Financial are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, First State reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
First |
First State Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3.69 in First State Financial on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1.59) from holding First State Financial or give up 43.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. First State Financial is currently generating 0.6634% in daily expected returns and assumes 18.2329% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than First, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
First State Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 83.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First State to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.07 (This First State Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
First State Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First State
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First State Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First State's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First State Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First State is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First State's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First State Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First State within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
First State Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First State for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First State Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First State is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| First State has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| First State appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| First State has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (21.14 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.04 M). |
First State Fundamentals Growth
First Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First State, and First State fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.21 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0799 | |||
| Operating Margin | 1.62 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 26.03 M | |||
| Price To Book | 0 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0 X | |||
| Revenue | (9.04 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 20.63 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 3.48 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.97 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.96 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (6.14) X | |||
| Total Asset | 463.24 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (27.07 M) | |||
About First State Performance
By analyzing First State's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First State's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First State has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First State has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
First State Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for First State Bank, which provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals, and small and medium-sized businesses in the west central region of Florida. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sarasota, Florida. First State is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.Things to note about First State Financial performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about First State for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for First State Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First State is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| First State has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| First State appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| First State has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (21.14 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.04 M). |
- Analyzing First State's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First State's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining First State's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating First State's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First State's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First State's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into First State's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis
When running First State's price analysis, check to measure First State's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First State is operating at the current time. Most of First State's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First State's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First State's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First State to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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