Consumer Finance Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.72

FSVLX Fund  USD 19.85  0.10  0.51%   
Consumer Finance's future price is the expected price of Consumer Finance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Consumer Finance Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Consumer Finance Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Consumer Finance Correlation, Consumer Finance Hype Analysis, Consumer Finance Volatility, Consumer Finance History as well as Consumer Finance Performance.
  
Please specify Consumer Finance's target price for which you would like Consumer Finance odds to be computed.

Consumer Finance Target Price Odds to finish over 19.72

The tendency of Consumer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.72  in 90 days
 19.85 90 days 19.72 
roughly 2.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Consumer Finance to stay above $ 19.72  in 90 days from now is roughly 2.53 (This Consumer Finance Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Consumer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Consumer Finance Por price to stay between $ 19.72  and its current price of $19.85 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Consumer Finance will likely underperform. Additionally Consumer Finance Portfolio has an alpha of 0.0921, implying that it can generate a 0.0921 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Consumer Finance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Consumer Finance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consumer Finance Por. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.6019.7520.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2219.3720.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4619.6120.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6919.7819.88
Details

Consumer Finance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Consumer Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Consumer Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Consumer Finance Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Consumer Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Consumer Finance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Consumer Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Consumer Finance Por can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Consumer Finance Technical Analysis

Consumer Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Consumer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Consumer Finance Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Consumer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Consumer Finance Predictive Forecast Models

Consumer Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Consumer Finance's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Consumer Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Consumer Finance Por

Checking the ongoing alerts about Consumer Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Consumer Finance Por help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Consumer Mutual Fund

Consumer Finance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Consumer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Consumer with respect to the benefits of owning Consumer Finance security.
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