FPT Securities (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42431.25
| FTS Stock | 44,600 2,900 6.95% |
FPT |
FPT Securities Target Price Odds to finish below 42431.25
The tendency of FPT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 42,431 or more in 90 days |
| 44,600 | 90 days | 42,431 | about 29.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FPT Securities to drop to 42,431 or more in 90 days from now is about 29.94 (This FPT Securities JSC probability density function shows the probability of FPT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FPT Securities JSC price to stay between 42,431 and its current price of 44600.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FPT Securities has a beta of 0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FPT Securities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FPT Securities JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FPT Securities JSC has an alpha of 0.0187, implying that it can generate a 0.0187 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FPT Securities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FPT Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FPT Securities JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FPT Securities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FPT Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FPT Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FPT Securities JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FPT Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,470 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
FPT Securities Technical Analysis
FPT Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FPT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FPT Securities JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing FPT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FPT Securities Predictive Forecast Models
FPT Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many FPT Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FPT Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FPT Securities in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FPT Securities' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FPT Securities options trading.
Other Information on Investing in FPT Stock
FPT Securities financial ratios help investors to determine whether FPT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FPT with respect to the benefits of owning FPT Securities security.