FinEx Physically (Netherlands) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 2.52

FXGD Etf  EUR 2.52  0.03  1.20%   
FinEx Physically's future price is the expected price of FinEx Physically instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FinEx Physically Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FinEx Physically Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FinEx Physically Correlation, FinEx Physically Hype Analysis, FinEx Physically Volatility, FinEx Physically History as well as FinEx Physically Performance.
  
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FinEx Physically Target Price Odds to finish over 2.52

The tendency of FinEx Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.52 90 days 2.52 
roughly 2.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FinEx Physically to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.24 (This FinEx Physically Gold probability density function shows the probability of FinEx Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FinEx Physically has a beta of 0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FinEx Physically average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FinEx Physically Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FinEx Physically Gold has an alpha of 0.2399, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FinEx Physically Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FinEx Physically

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FinEx Physically Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.102.523.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.332.754.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.162.584.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.332.422.51
Details

FinEx Physically Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FinEx Physically is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FinEx Physically's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FinEx Physically Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FinEx Physically within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

FinEx Physically Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FinEx Physically for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FinEx Physically Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

FinEx Physically Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FinEx Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FinEx Physically's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FinEx Physically's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day142
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.92k

FinEx Physically Technical Analysis

FinEx Physically's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FinEx Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FinEx Physically Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing FinEx Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FinEx Physically Predictive Forecast Models

FinEx Physically's time-series forecasting models is one of many FinEx Physically's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FinEx Physically's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FinEx Physically Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about FinEx Physically for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FinEx Physically Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in FinEx Etf

FinEx Physically financial ratios help investors to determine whether FinEx Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FinEx with respect to the benefits of owning FinEx Physically security.