Genpact Limited Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.15

G Stock  USD 46.19  0.37  0.81%   
Genpact's future price is the expected price of Genpact instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Genpact Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Genpact Backtesting, Genpact Valuation, Genpact Correlation, Genpact Hype Analysis, Genpact Volatility, Genpact History as well as Genpact Performance.
  
At this time, Genpact's Price Sales Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. Please specify Genpact's target price for which you would like Genpact odds to be computed.

Genpact Target Price Odds to finish below 43.15

The tendency of Genpact Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 43.15  or more in 90 days
 46.19 90 days 43.15 
about 88.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genpact to drop to $ 43.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.87 (This Genpact Limited probability density function shows the probability of Genpact Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Genpact Limited price to stay between $ 43.15  and its current price of $46.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.22 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Genpact has a beta of 0.85. This usually indicates Genpact Limited market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Genpact is expected to follow. Additionally Genpact Limited has an alpha of 0.1683, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Genpact Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Genpact

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genpact Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.3546.0147.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.7747.4349.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.1644.8246.48
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.8342.6747.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genpact. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genpact's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genpact's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Genpact Limited.

Genpact Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genpact is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genpact's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genpact Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genpact within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Genpact Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genpact for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genpact Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Genpact Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thefly.com: Genpact extends partnership with Ferring Pharmaceuticals G

Genpact Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genpact Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genpact's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genpact's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding185.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments583.7 M

Genpact Technical Analysis

Genpact's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Genpact Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Genpact Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Genpact Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Genpact Predictive Forecast Models

Genpact's time-series forecasting models is one of many Genpact's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Genpact's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Genpact Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Genpact for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Genpact Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Genpact Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thefly.com: Genpact extends partnership with Ferring Pharmaceuticals G
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genpact. If investors know Genpact will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genpact listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.156
Dividend Share
0.595
Earnings Share
3.64
Revenue Per Share
25.964
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.066
The market value of Genpact Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genpact that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genpact's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genpact's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genpact's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genpact's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genpact's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genpact is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genpact's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.