Genpact Limited Stock Price Prediction

G Stock  USD 46.19  0.37  0.81%   
As of 24th of November 2024 The relative strength index (RSI) of Genpact's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

86

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Genpact's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Genpact and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Genpact's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genpact Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Genpact's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.156
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.84
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.2336
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.4547
Wall Street Target Price
47.1818
Using Genpact hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genpact Limited from the perspective of Genpact response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Genpact Limited Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Genpact's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genpact. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genpact can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genpact Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genpact's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genpact.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Genpact to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Genpact because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Genpact after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 46.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.7747.4349.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.1644.8246.48
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.8342.6747.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.800.810.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genpact. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genpact's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genpact's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Genpact Limited.

Genpact After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Genpact at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genpact or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genpact, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Genpact Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Genpact's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genpact's historical news coverage. Genpact's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.35 and 47.67, respectively. We have considered Genpact's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
46.19
46.01
After-hype Price
47.67
Upside
Genpact is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genpact Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Genpact Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genpact is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genpact backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genpact, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
1.66
  0.18 
  0.04 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
46.19
46.01
0.39 
247.76  
Notes

Genpact Hype Timeline

As of November 24, 2024 Genpact Limited is listed for 46.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Genpact is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 46.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Genpact is about 1070.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.15. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Genpact was currently reported as 13.58. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. Genpact Limited last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Genpact Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Genpact's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genpact's future price movements. Getting to know how Genpact's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genpact may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OCFTOneconnect Financial Technology 0.42 3 per month 7.30  0.11  27.92 (11.73) 75.58 
GBTGGlobal Business Travel 0.73 6 per month 1.42  0.16  4.01 (2.48) 13.29 
ALITAlight Inc(0.17)7 per month 1.59  0.04  3.18 (2.36) 19.70 
LAWCS Disco LLC 0.05 11 per month 1.78  0.02  3.63 (3.18) 10.88 
HTCRHeartCore Enterprises 0.15 9 per month 5.90  0.15  14.14 (10.17) 26.35 
IFBDInfobird Co 0.09 10 per month 4.34 (0.02) 8.11 (7.55) 25.02 
SMARSmartsheet(0.13)11 per month 0.53  0.06  3.28 (1.75) 8.19 
SPTSprout Social(2.31)9 per month 3.24 (0.02) 5.77 (4.06) 20.42 
RSKDRiskified(0.44)7 per month 2.40 (0.06) 2.62 (3.67) 12.56 
DOMODomo Inc 0.06 10 per month 2.45  0.07  4.41 (4.10) 10.59 

Genpact Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Genpact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genpact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genpact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Genpact Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Genpact stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Genpact Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Genpact based on analysis of Genpact hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Genpact's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Genpact's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0080730.01080.01580.0242
Price To Sales Ratio2.481.951.412.31

Story Coverage note for Genpact

The number of cover stories for Genpact depends on current market conditions and Genpact's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genpact is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genpact's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Genpact Short Properties

Genpact's future price predictability will typically decrease when Genpact's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genpact Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genpact's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genpact's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding185.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments583.7 M

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When running Genpact's price analysis, check to measure Genpact's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genpact is operating at the current time. Most of Genpact's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genpact's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genpact's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genpact to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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