Gladstone Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.86

GAIN Stock  USD 13.66  0.14  1.04%   
Gladstone Investment's future price is the expected price of Gladstone Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gladstone Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gladstone Investment Backtesting, Gladstone Investment Valuation, Gladstone Investment Correlation, Gladstone Investment Hype Analysis, Gladstone Investment Volatility, Gladstone Investment History as well as Gladstone Investment Performance.
To learn how to invest in Gladstone Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gladstone Investment guide.
  
At this time, Gladstone Investment's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of November 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 5.95, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.70. Please specify Gladstone Investment's target price for which you would like Gladstone Investment odds to be computed.

Gladstone Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 16.86

The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.86  or more in 90 days
 13.66 90 days 16.86 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Investment to move over $ 16.86  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gladstone Investment probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Investment price to stay between its current price of $ 13.66  and $ 16.86  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gladstone Investment has a beta of 0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gladstone Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gladstone Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gladstone Investment has an alpha of 0.1358, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gladstone Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gladstone Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2913.5614.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1413.4114.68
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.3813.6015.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.240.24
Details

Gladstone Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Gladstone Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Investment currently holds about 43.88 M in cash with (69.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32.
Gladstone Investment has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 31st of October 2024 Gladstone Investment paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Gladstone Land Co. Announces 0.13 Monthly Dividend

Gladstone Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 M

Gladstone Investment Technical Analysis

Gladstone Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gladstone Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Gladstone Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gladstone Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Investment currently holds about 43.88 M in cash with (69.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32.
Gladstone Investment has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 31st of October 2024 Gladstone Investment paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Gladstone Land Co. Announces 0.13 Monthly Dividend
When determining whether Gladstone Investment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gladstone Investment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gladstone Investment Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gladstone Investment Stock:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Investment. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
1.04
Revenue Per Share
2.544
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
The market value of Gladstone Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.