Gladstone Investment Stock Price Prediction
| GAIN Stock | USD 13.50 0.02 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.02 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.05 | Wall Street Target Price 13.5 |
Using Gladstone Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gladstone Investment from the perspective of Gladstone Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gladstone Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gladstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gladstone Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 13.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gladstone |
Gladstone Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gladstone Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gladstone Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gladstone Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gladstone Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gladstone Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gladstone Investment's historical news coverage. Gladstone Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.29 and 14.79, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gladstone Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gladstone Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gladstone Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gladstone Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gladstone Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.25 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.50 | 13.54 | 0.30 |
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Gladstone Investment Hype Timeline
Gladstone Investment is currently traded for 13.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Gladstone is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Investment is about 1176.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.48. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 117.56 M. Net Income was 85.31 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 72.55 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Gladstone Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gladstone Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gladstone Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gladstone Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Gladstone Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gladstone Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.00 | (0.07) | 1.09 | (1.13) | 5.12 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.94 | (2.10) | 5.65 | |
| SCM | Stellus Capital Investment | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.63 | (0.05) | 1.22 | (1.29) | 4.47 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.65 | (2.01) | 19.03 | |
| ARCC | Ares Capital | (0.21) | 12 per month | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.94 | (0.96) | 3.08 | |
| HTGC | Hercules Capital | (0.53) | 8 per month | 0.83 | (0.01) | 1.56 | (1.36) | 4.50 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.54 | 0.15 | 1.64 | (1.47) | 4.12 | |
| MAIN | Main Street Capital | (0.16) | 6 per month | 0.45 | 0.07 | 1.12 | (1.28) | 3.02 |
Gladstone Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gladstone Investment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gladstone Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gladstone Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gladstone Investment based on analysis of Gladstone Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gladstone Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gladstone Investment's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0725 | 0.16 | 0.17 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.4 | 6.12 | 6.42 |
Story Coverage note for Gladstone Investment
The number of cover stories for Gladstone Investment depends on current market conditions and Gladstone Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gladstone Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gladstone Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gladstone Investment Short Properties
Gladstone Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gladstone Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gladstone Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gladstone Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 76.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 M |
Check out Gladstone Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Gladstone Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gladstone Investment guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Investment. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 1.04 | Revenue Per Share 2.544 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 |
The market value of Gladstone Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.