General American Investors Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.54

GAM Stock  USD 51.41  0.28  0.55%   
General American's future price is the expected price of General American instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of General American Investors performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out General American Backtesting, General American Valuation, General American Correlation, General American Hype Analysis, General American Volatility, General American History as well as General American Performance.
  
At this time, General American's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of November 2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 0.69, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.01). Please specify General American's target price for which you would like General American odds to be computed.

General American Target Price Odds to finish below 42.54

The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 42.54  or more in 90 days
 51.41 90 days 42.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General American to drop to $ 42.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This General American Investors probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General American Inv price to stay between $ 42.54  and its current price of $51.41 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon General American has a beta of 0.68. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, General American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding General American Investors will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally General American Investors has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   General American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for General American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General American Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.6851.4052.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.5750.2956.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as General American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against General American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, General American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in General American Inv.

General American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General American Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

General American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General American Inv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
General American Investors has 2.98 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. General American Inv has a current ratio of 0.22, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Saba Capital Management, L.P. Increases Stake in General American Investors Co Inc

General American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.55
Shares Float21 M

General American Technical Analysis

General American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General American Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

General American Predictive Forecast Models

General American's time-series forecasting models is one of many General American's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about General American Inv

Checking the ongoing alerts about General American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General American Inv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
General American Investors has 2.98 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. General American Inv has a current ratio of 0.22, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Saba Capital Management, L.P. Increases Stake in General American Investors Co Inc
When determining whether General American Inv is a strong investment it is important to analyze General American's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact General American's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding General Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General American. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Dividend Share
2.65
Earnings Share
12.79
Revenue Per Share
1.147
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.011
The market value of General American Inv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.